Must a cup fall? Does it matter?
A veteran hypothesis is still just a story. Forgetting this can be catastrophic.
Would I hesitate to try the cup challenge?
The Cup Challenge.
Pay £100 to take part. Then you let go of a ceramic cup in mid-air. If it starts to accelerate downwards you receive £110 back.
Obviously first thought is it’s a scam.
But say the rules said
the £10 is put on the table with your £100
you could bring your own ceramic cup for the occasion (no hidden metal guaranteed )
and perform the test outdoors anywhere you like, choosing at the last moment exactly where.
With a huge crowd of your friends watching.
Then I would never ever refuse the cup challenge of course! Who would? I would consider it a great chance to make easy money. I would could make £500 in an hour then get back to my work.
Of course I wouldn’t hesitate!
Why, Tim?
Do you know the cup will fall?
I do not. How could I?
It’s much harder to be tripped up when you don’t pretend to know what’s coming round the corner.
It’s the deep habit of clarity I am suggesting is worth cultivating at a root level.
The cup story
A cup must fall if you let it go in mid-air in any place on earth where nothing is pushing it up or inhibiting its movement
This is a story. Pink stuff. Fiction.
Stay with me.
Some stories are happily Fantasy. They may weave green elements inside them…
…indeed, it would impossible for any story not to surely!
but still these stories make no claim that the whole story is anything but a bit of fun - or a deep allegory - or anything in between - but not a literal representation of actual reality.
Our cup story is neither of the above. It’s a particular type of story.
First of all the cup story makes a representational claim.
The green corona (let’s take back the word) indicates that the story acts as a guide or map to actual reality, Green Stuff. Leading to new finds by imagining where to look. It’s what I term a Science Fiction.
I am taking Sciere to mean to know.
Science the discipline is about
Green knowledge
Science Witness
and representational maps compatible with it,
Pink knowledge
Science Fictions.
Defining terms within the context of my own presentations
Representational Stories that can lead to hard green stuff I choose to call Science Fictions or Science Fancies interchangeably. The latter in the event there would ever be a confusion between a Science Fiction and the literary genre. Though I can’t see how. Dune is not ‘a science-fiction’.
I’m not asking anyone to adopt my terminology. I only define my own terms clearly so that I can write with clarity.
The middle cannot be left empty if our story claims to represent reality!
We have two questions to ask - because if it really is a map to reality it must answer in the positive to either or both of:
Does it predict or prophesy what can happen, or what might be the case and thus be able to be shown true
Does it prohibit what can’t happen and thus be able to be shown false.
Obviously any prophecy is twinned with it’s inverse prohibition and vice versa. The same evidence affirms one and falsifies the other. One says something will happen, the other says it can’t.
We can’t have an empty middle if our story has any connection with reality.
With no testable connection with reality,, we do not have a Science Fiction but a
Pseudoscience Fantasy.
Angels on a pinhead. Reification fallacies.
Nothing could prove them true or false yet they are widespread and used to make decisions.
A Pseudoscience Fantasy can offer only brown stuff: bullshit. Pink Stuff pretended to be Green. It has no real connection with reality. We shouldn’t give it the time of day.
A common example at the end of the essay.
No, for a useful Science Fiction,
We need to know how the story can be tested against reality if it claims to be a guide to it.
The three types of Science Fiction
Two questions need to be answered…
Can it be shown true?
That is to say, could it turn out not to be Pink Stuff at all but Green Stuff we didn’t know yet. A lucky guess, divination or calculation.
There are two types of verifiable stories:.
A Science Prediction
this is a verifiable story that can also be shown wrong, false. It is falsifiable.
There is cheese in the fridge.
a Science Prophecy
could be shown true, but could never ever be proved false, however unlikely it seems.
Cheese in a fridge may levitate for a few seconds in the middle of the night
The black infinity reminds us it would take infinite tests to prove it false
i.e. It cannot be proved false.
This brings up the other question and leads to the last type of Science Fancy.
Can our story be shown false?
If it can also be shown true as well as false then it’s just a
Science Prediction.
again albeit negatively stated.
But what if it could never be shown to be true?
This is our third and final type of Science Fiction,
a Science Prohibition.
A dog will never understand basic Latin
Or
A cup must fall if you let it go in mid-air in any place on earth where nothing is pushing it up or inhibiting its movement.
Our cup story is a Science Prohibition - it claims to apply in an infinite and so uncheckable number of situations. In particular in the future.
Like all Universal Hypotheses it can by its very nature never be proved true. It is Unverifiable. You’d have to do infinite tests to prove it true.
But it can be proved false.
It is Falsifiable. By one counter-example.
It says some things can’t happen. Any one of them happening and it’s dead in the water.
It’s a Falsifiable Universal (→Unverifiable) Hypothesis.
In my terminology:
A Science Prohibition
It says what reality can’t do. It restricts what is possible. The cup will accelerate down at around 9.8 ms-2 and no other movement is possible.
These (falsifiable universal) hypotheses are the back-bone of science
Maps that apply in many situations are the most useful.
Universal Timeless maps are the most useful of all.
But
None of them could ever be proved true.
??
How can something that can never be proved true be any use
??
By never failing despite attempts to break it.
Because our cup story…
A cup must fall if you let it go in mid-air in any place on earth where nothing is pushing it up or inhibiting its movement.
…is not your everyday Science Prohibition,
It’s a very special type of Science Prohibition
It is a
3.b. Veteran Hypothesis, a Veteran Prohibition
This is a (falsifiable) map, model, abstraction-of-reality story that is not only falsifiable but has been subjected to
such a sustained repeated imaginative diligent sincere onslaught of falsification attempts - all failed
- that it is usually grudgingly raised in standard terminology from the status of hypothesis to the coveted status of
‘Theory’ But even this guy may get beaten eventually.
He’s still Pink.
3.b. Veteran Hypothesis.
A reminder that - though it looks quite green, though it is associated with a huge amount of Science Witness, actual Green Stuff - a mass of earnest attempts to trip it up with no success…
It would still take infinitely more tests to ‘prove it’ including measurements of the future.
And still there in the middle we see;
the chance for it to be proved false with one single real life example.
Beware the Veteran Trap
What a reliable fellow the Veteran Hypothesis has turned out to be. A map that never fails at least not so far.
Why it’s…
As good as true we may as well take it a…
No!
Either it’s true or it’s a story.
I do not know cups will fall tomorrow and if you are honest, neither do you.
I only know they have done so far. And this matches other objects behaviour and people’s reports.
Of course we would both accept the cup challenge in a heartbeat.
This is not about pragmatic behaviour over the future actions of cups. This is about a core mental bad habit being removed.
The Ultimate Thought Experiment
This universe could be a simulation with fiddling to the rules planned tomorrow. Cups may rise.
Obviously probably no harm will ever come from discounting this possibility - or from pretending the veteran cup story is literally true,
Except this casually normal sloppy habit may be then applied elsewhere in such a way that costs you your life.
💉
Our Augmented Reality Overlay
‘Pink’ stuff is equivalent to the augmented overlay offered by fancy new techno-glasses.
We see ‘Green’ reality through the glasses and also a host of helpful pink maps and guides to navigate it successfully, predict outcomes etc...
It’s easy to imagine someone who is wearing a pair of Trusk Patent Transhumospecs™️ every waking hour, starting to confuse the overlay for part of the reality they view.
We’ve been wearing our head-above-the-head overlay since birth. We’ve also been given heaps of ‘received wisdom’ stories to add to it from many ‘trustable’ sources - again from birth. So much Pink handed on as Green. So much brown. So much bullshit.
Many, many people are beginning to realise that
a huge number of these stories…
Which we were told were genuinely a good guide to reality or indeed equal to reality
…are pure fiction only.
Question Every Story
A huge example is Contagion.
For most people still, the story:
You can catch a cold from someone via a virus
is
As good as true
like the cup story. In other words it’s
so unlikely to be false that acting on it being true will cause much less damage than not doing so.
Yet it doesn’t take long to realise - when examined with due diligence - that the probability of
You can catch a cold from someone via a virus
being true is actually much nearer in probability to the INVERSE cup story.:
A cup will one day not fall when dropped
In other words it’s
so unlikely to be true that acting on it being false will cause much less damage than not doing so.
And yet
For most people the reverse ‘appears’ the case and the first questioning they hear of the consensus ‘knowledge’ sounds crazy. Why?
Received ‘Wisdom’
6000 years of Indian and Chinese medicine and nobody ‘noticed’ this phenomenon?
Nobody in the West saw it ‘til a few hundred years ago?
Scurvy, treated as an infectious disease for 50 years, is a lesson in how stories ‘prove themselves’
by interpreting reality through their lens and so confirming by circular reasoning their own ‘truth’.
We entertain the notion of contagion by microbe only because this is brown stuff we have been given - as it were.
So much we were given as truth is now turning out to be complete bullshit.
Usually the bullshit involves false fear.
When you understand:
there is nothing in the real world smaller than a Fauci out to get you
episodes of ‘illness’ become much rarer. The nocebo effect / Voodoo effect disappears and most illness with it. Well this has been my experience and that of many others. Check particular the video in Thomas B Cannon’s work in this.
What category of Science Fiction is Germ Theory?
Koch’s postulates were falsifiable. If you have the disease symptoms, you will find the bacteria. If you have the bacteria you will have the symptoms.
About the only real science he did.
But
Nothing has ever satisfied any of Koch’s postulates. So now, we are ‘happy with’ the bacteria being in those without ‘the disease’, and people having ‘the disease’ being free of the particular “warfare ing” bacteria culprit
This means Germ ‘Theory’ - more correctly the Germ Hypothesis is now neither verifiable nor falsifiable. We’ve already met this beast.
It should be called Germ Pseudoscience Fantasy
Total Scepticism
My default position now is to question every story no matter how widely (or deeply) ‘understood’ as ‘almost certain’ or ‘certain’.
Where is the evidence?
When did the story start?
Who started the story?
Who pushes the story?
Cui Bono?
Was it ever actually established as based on reality?
Are their competing stories compatible with the evidence?
Is it actually at the end of the day just a fairy tale? A reification fallacio?
The false comfort of certainty
Although we think we find it a support to have ‘certainties’ a nice solid graven image augmented reality overlay fused to our view of reality,
deep down we know that
certainty is only sought where there is doubt!
Certainty = certainty + doubt
every time
No-one says I am certain I just had a cup of coffee. You know you did. Experience. Green stuff. Witness.
Deep down we understand certainty to be - by definition - delusion. It’s Pink but we treat it as Green.
We lean on certainties, which we really know are phantoms and this leads to root anxiety.
We don’t need ‘em!
When we free ourselves from this fusing, allow our maps to be maps, a tremendous peace descends.
It’s much harder to be ‘tripped’ up when you don’t pretend to know what’s coming round the corner.
Coddiwompling.
Peace through sanity
Are you willing to let go of the Greenification (Brownification) of your pink?
‘Truths’ you hold dear?
You don’t have to throw away any pink!
Just know its ‘colour’.
Denial
Treating Green Stuff as Pink Stuff is Denial.
The other form of delusion from Certainty.
Pretending hard reality is just another story.
The difficult one
The hard reality is that no evidence exists for the transmission of disease by biological pathogen.
To say otherwise is denial.
You disagree?
I’ve been offering £3000 for any such evidence now for several years. Be the first to supply some! Please!
It would be worth £3000 for the first piece of evidence for Germ ‘Theory’ in history.
has sought such evidence from all major institutions and bodies.It’s not there. It never was.
If this is a shock - there is so much more.
Question all. Believe nothing. Believe no-one. Go to source. We’re being managed. We have to see through the lies and break the spell. Things are hotting up.
It just needs eyes fixed on the terrain more than the overlay. With the two never being confused.
Please join me. Let’s get the brown stuff out of The Science™️.
Life time access to my music if you take a Year’s Subscription before February.
I’d be grateful for your support.
Thanks
Tim
Tim, I think you’ve created a very useful framework & used it to try to prompt people into thinking about how the knowledge they have came about.
Very often, it’s “Someone told me this & I chose to believe them.
I’d treated as fact several things that I was aware had never formally been shown to be true. Most of us have done this.
An example is the group of substances too old to have been evaluated by regulators. Those who as far as we know have never been associated with harms can be classified as GRAS (“generally recognized as sage”).
In the past, if I looked up the toxicological profile of an excipient & saw GRAS, I’d think that was safe.
Now, I wonder how did it get that classification, who lobbied for this outcome, what I’d bring covered up, etc.
One major limitation of the two colour model is how very few things are actually true, rather than treated as good as true.
Dear Tim,
Thank you for your words of wisdom,I always try to use your Pink and Green thought process. Finding out almost everything you were taught ( indoctrinated brown stuff 😡)is a lie, leaves one on shaky ground moving forward so it’s Pink or Green from now on😊
It does take a great deal of investigation and the chat channel helps tremendously.
However 😊 I would definitely ( given the stated conditions) put my £100 down, as my lived reality is every cup I’ve knocked off the counter (so far ) has always fallen , 🤔and rarely bounced 🤯I am a bit clumsy 😂
I don’t think I will be calling my personal lived reality, a representational claim.My cups in these instances would have green dots outside, all green inside with one medium pink dot ( for new science discoveries).
I do agree we can’t predict our future reality. This world has many unknowns….
🧐Typo. …sciere ( science) to mean to know .
Best Wishes Helen 🤗 Wishing you a Happy Festive Season🎄🥂🍾